Tuesday, 7 July 2026

NEWSLETTER #59 - SOCIETY OF AFRICAN EARTH SCIENTISTS

 









  Volume 15, Issue 2, April - June 2026


CONTENT

Chair's Foreword

Urban Flood Mitigation in West Africa 2026

Earth Science Events

References and selected reading



Chair's Foreword*

In this issue we face head on, the problem of urban flood mitigation in West Africa.  Recent heavy rains in urban West African coastal regions has led to at least 72 deaths and thousands of people displaced  in Ghana, Ivory Coast and Nigeria. In 2021, as chair of SAES, I attended a post-doctoral review of research work that was being conducted by young African scientists on climate change and mitigation, under the auspices of the African Climate Policy Centre (ACPC). One of the presentations at this closing workshop, was on Flood Risk Reduction for three West African capital cities (Abidjan, Ouagadougou and Dakar) by Evelyne Toure [1]. In the main article, we look at proposals for flood mitigation in the light of the 2021 ACPC closing workshop [2] and the urgency now motivated by the recent flooding emergencies  in West Africa.













Urban Flood Mitigation in West Africa 2026

   Recent floods in urban regions in West Africa have claimed the lives of at least 72 people and displaced thousands.[3]

   Floods in Ivory Coast have claimed the highest number of  lives with a death toll of 59 people since May 2026. These death toll figures may still rise as local rescuers continue their search for missing flood victims.[4]

   It is the regional rainy season (usually May to July); and coastal West Africa is experiencing  exceptionally heavy rains  probably due to climate warming. In 2022, the World Meteorology Organisation reported that rains in West Africa had led to extreme events that were 80% more like to occur as a result of climate change[5]. Extreme rainfall events that were once visiting the region every decade or every few years are now seen as a yearly occurrence. The experience of the populace is that floods in West Africa are becoming a more frequent geohazard, along with the other geohazards it brings, such as landslides and mudslides. Continentally, Africa is already witnessing extreme weather events due to global warming in spite of the fact that the continent only contributes about 4% of global carbon emissions.

   In neighbouring Ghana in the Accra region, 13 deaths resulted from floods due to rainy season precipitation where 140mm of rain fell in a single day. This equates approximately to two months of rain in a day. In fact in 2025, the highest rainfall in a single day was at a peak of 56 mm.

   Nearly all of the reports of urban regional floods acknowledge the role played by the impact of poor waste management and urban population growth on existing  infrastructure. In the case of Ghana, the president himself  acknowledged the likely impact of unplanned urban development. President Mahama cited the special case of Accra which lies between the Akwapim mountain range  and the coast facing the Atlantic Ocean.

   Nigeria was also affected - as it was in 2025. Apart from recent flooding in the Lekki area of Lagos, parts of northern Nigeria also experienced floods in 2025 which were their worst in 60 years [6] and which left 150 people dead and displaced thousands after destroying their dwellings. This year, the Nigerian Meteorological Association (NiMet) predicts rainfall increases in the capital territory, Abuja, as well as 9 other states, with many in the north.

   Recent reports of urban regional flooding in West Africa broadly recognise the factors that contribute to extreme urban flood events. They recognise 

1) poor waste management impact on existing infrastructure

2) growing urban population impact on existing infrastructure

But in addition to these, a major setback in flood mitigation  in Africa is the pattern of 

3) unregulated and unplanned construction on actual wetlands  



Wetlands - Their Role in  West African Flood Mitigation

To appreciate the seriousness of setback of factor 3) above, we must appreciate the definition  and function of a wetland. A wetland by definition is: "...a distinct semi-aquatic ecosystem, whose ground covers are flooded or saturated in water either permanently, for years or decades, or only seasonally".[7]   In simple terms, it is an area of marsh land capable of absorbing large amounts of water. It serves as a basin where the city flood excess water can drain. For this reason it is a great obstacle to progress when residents build dwellings and structures on wetlands which are supposed to serve as the regional storm basin. For the sake of community safety, building on wetlands should be strictly prohibited, as wetlands should ideally receive the excess floodwater from the city.

   It is encouraging that virtually all major cities in West Africa have significant wetland areas, which can readily be incorporated into every West African city's flood defence plans:- For example


Owerri, capital of Imo state, Nigeria  - Owerri wetlands

Accra, capital of Ghana - Densu and Sakumonoh wetlands

Abidjan, capital of Cote d'ivoire, Ebrie and Aghien Lagoons


and many other examples. However, their purpose is defeated if unregulated buildings and settlements are located within them.


Conclusion

The levels of flooding we have witnessed across West Africa is in some instances so tumultuous as to suggest there is an element of climate change-induced flooding that we cannot control. Following basic common sense measures such as mapping the city guttering networks for the sake of maintenance and  gutter clearing; West African cities can more effectively discharge excess rain water to a storm basin. Local wetlands in urban regions employed in this way can play a valuable role in mitigating urban flooding; but only if unregulated buildings within them are prohibited.


Earth Science Events


6-11 July 2026

5th International Conference on African Rivers: Research Development and Innovation

VENUE: Mohamed V. University, Rabat, Morocco.


21 July 2026

International Conference on Hydraulics and Civil Engineering Solutions

VENUE: Cape Town, South Africa.


21-23 September 2026

African Water Security Conference - Towards and Secure and Resilient Africa

VENUE: Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.


8-11 December 2026

7th International Africa Congress on Hydro environment and engineering Research

- Water Resilience & Innovation

VENUE: Kigali, Rwanda.



References and Selected Reading


[1] Toure, E.N., Flood Risk Reduction Under the Paris Agreement for Three West African Cities, CR4D, End of grant workshop, 21-23 June, Nairobi, Kenya, 2021.

[2] SAES Newsletter #39.

[3] Guardian 2 July 2026, Cote d'Ivoire flood kills 59 as west Africa endures torrential rains.

[4] Ibid.

[5] Tandon, A., West Africa's deadly rainfall in 2022 made "80 times more likely" by climate change,  Carbon Brief, Nov., 2022.

[6] Guardian - Faye Hulton (Met desk), "Weather tracker: Nigeria hit by deadly flooding described as worst in 60 years", 2 Jun 2025.

[7] Wikipedia, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/wetland




*Board of the Society of African Earth Scientists: Dr Enas Ahmed (Egypt), Osmin Callis (Secretary - Guyana/Nigeria), Dr Stanley Echebima (Nigeria), Mathada Humphrey (South Africa), Damola Nadi (Nigeria), Dr Chukwunyere Kamalu (Chair - Nigeria).





Sunday, 29 March 2026

NEWSLETTER #58 - SOCIETY OF AFRICAN EARTH SCIENTISTS









  Volume 15, Issue 1, January - March 2026


CONTENT

Chair's Foreword

The Affordability of Solar Power in Africa

Earth Science Events

References and selected reading



Chair's Foreword*

In this issue we attempt to articulate the difficult problem of making solar energy affordable in Africa and hence realising some of the enormous potential that it promises, as well as its obstacles. We consult reports on the SE4All (Sustainable Energy for All) programme co-chaired by the UN secretary general and president of the World Bank, the Outlook for Africa in the development of solar PV and other reports which look at Nigeria as a case study applicable to other African countries.


Figure 1.  Small Solar: One visible half of a 1.5kVA Solar Panel Installation in Owerri, Nigeria


Affordable Solar Electricity in Africa

   Off-grid solar energy installations are growing across Africa. This is partly due to the high cost of regional electricity, and the ongoing difficulty communities in Africa have in accessing the  national grid.[1]

   Although Africa has 60% of the world's best solar resources, only 3% of the continent's electricity is generated from solar [2]. However, the significant growth of solar in recent years is well illustrated by the fact that in 2024 alone 2.4 GW (Giga Watts) of new solar capacity was installed on the continent. South Africa and Egypt led the way in having the largest capacities in installation. The continental surge in solar is expected to have reached over 40% in 2025[3]. Despite significant growth of solar installations in Nigeria, the solar energy sector still represents only 0.2% of Nigeria's energy generation. [4]

   A report detailing Nigeria's attempt to accelerate its electrification in rural areas notes that Nigeria is the  single nation with the highest number of people without access to electricity[5]. In seeming response to the need to improve Nigeria's record, the government has put in place a "Distributed Access to Renewable Energy Scale-up" (DARES) Project, designed to close the electricity access gap. The project hopes to supply electricity to 17.5 million Nigerians by means of 1,350 mini-grids [6].

   According to a report on global off-grid solar market trends, published by the World Bank, there are 685 million people around the world who have no access to electricity, and most of these are in Africa [7]. As noted above, Nigeria houses the greatest nation population who have no electricity access.

   A report on a Sustainable Energy Project (SE4All)  co-chaired by the World Bank President and the UN secretary general, puts forward a multi-tier framework for understanding access to energy in Africa and elsewhere. We essentially employ a chart (Table 1) mapping solar energy capacity against cost[8], and in the process map the entire societal spectrum of affordability for different household incomes as well as businesses and trade activities. By this approach we are able to see the levels of electricity access that are required for various industries and economic activities[9]. The World Bank had created this report to guide investors in the energy sector; but the information provided is also highly useful for solar power service providers who would like to tailor their provision for all income levels in the market, thereby twinning the provision of a comprehensive community service with potentially greater business sustainability; since a larger market is reached in catering for all income brackets of  solar power consumers, rather than merely focusing on a minority group made up of higher income consumers. This might seem counter intuitive to the solar business sector; but we must return to this in our conclusion.

   In conclusion, the framework report notes that the vast majority of Nigerian citizens, and on a continental scale, the vast majority of Africans, have an income level only commensurate with the lowest level of solar power provision. That is, 0 to 0.042 kVA. This equates to the provision of lights only, via a DC  power facility, such as solar lanterns, rather than an inverter, which  at minimum will provide 0.15kVA.  Many Africans (with Nigerians a case in point) will fall into the tier level 0 - 1, which has the capacity for only 1-3 LED lights and phone charging and has an installation cost of N5,000 to N50,000. Tier 1 to 2 provides for more lights and phone charging (possibly with a small fan,  but not TV ) at an even greater cost of  N80,000 to N200,000. 

 

Table 1.     World Bank Multi-tier Framework (MTF) and Real World Appliance Usage

Inverter

Size

kVA

MTF

Tier

Daily Energy

Capability

(kWh)

Typical appliance

load

User Profile &

Context

Estimated Cost Range (N)

N1 = approx. $1400

0kVA (DC only) solar lanterns

0-1

0.01 – 0.1 kWh

1-3 LED lights, phone charger

Poorest rural household/refugee camps

N5,000 – N50,000

0.15-0.3kVA

1-2

0.2-0.5kWh

1-3 LED lights, phone charger. No TV. Small fan.

Households at below minimum wage. First step beyond fuel-based lights.

N80,000 – N200,000

0.5kVA

2

0.6 – 1.2kWh

All tier 1 plus TV, medium fan, small blender. No fridge.

Lower income urban household, rural teacher, well-off petty traders.

N600,000 – N850,000

1kVA

3

1.5 – 3kWh

Tier 2 plus small fridge, 2 fans, TV, computer, laptop, printer. Ltd simultaneous use.

Lower middle-class income, small office, boutique, clinic requirements for lighting and equipment.

N900,000 – N1.4 million.

1.5 – 2kVA

3-4

3 – 6kWh

Tier 3 plus medium fridge, water pump, electric iron, small microwave. Ltd simultaneous use.

Middle class family. 3-4 bedrooms. Standard barber shop, large kiosk with fridge.

N1.4 million – N2.2 million.

3kVA

4

6-10kWh

All tier 1 plus one split-unit AC(1HP) OR, washing machine. Better simultaneous use.

Affluent home. Or medium size shop. Multiple freezers. Computer business centre. Pharmacy.

N2.5 million  – N3.8 million

5.0 kVA

4-5

10-20kWh

Can run 2 x split AC (1.5HP total), full kitchen (blender, microwave, small cooker), full office. Load management essential.

Large home/ small hotel/ restaurant/ workshop (welding, carpentry).

N4.5 million – N7million

7.5kVA

5

15-30kWh

Runs multiple Acs, electric water heater, full refrigerator + freezer, washing machine, managed electric cooker use.

Large villa/ small school/ hospital ward/ small factory/ industrial level.

N7 million – N12 million

10kVA

5+

20-40kWh

Full home electrification without load management.

Commercial enterprise/ assembly plant/ large hotel/apartment block/estate home

N8 million – N15 million +

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   The minimum wage in Nigeria amounts to about N30,000 per month. This is theoretical really, since only 20% of Nigerians are in formal employment where this rate applies. About 80% of the population exists outside the formal employment sector where their income falls way below this level. Given that the minimum wage in Nigeria amounts to about N360,000 per year, it is apparent that the cost of even a level 1 to level 2 scheme is not affordable for many Nigerians, who would need about  6-7 months of their salary upfront in order to save up enough to purchase the most basic solar system with a solar power inverter. Finance might only be possible through loan schemes, where the user pays periodically until the cost of the system has been paid off and the customer then owns the system. 

  Other than the development of loan schemes which are difficult to manage successfully in a country like Nigeria with such a large portion of the population living under the minimum wage level; the other option is for solar providers to wait for solar costs to fall still further; or appreciate that counter intuitively (as noted above), greater profitability actually may not lie in targeting only a wealthier tier of consumers (as most of the market seems conditioned to do); but in making provision for all income levels - since the majority of customers can only afford the lowest level basic systems that provide domestic lighting, phone charging and small fans. Providers should accept that most of their income could lie in making more low income provision such as DC lights, phone charging and small energy efficient fans and other appliances with low energy requirements, rather than chasing providing only for wealthier homes which are fewer and further between.

   Finally, a very real beacon of hope for small income households in Africa, lies in the ongoing technological development of appliances specifically for use with solar energy technology. This means we are seeing the development of lower energy appliances that can operate with less power, such as LED lighting, and very low energy electric fans. This means that in the future appliances might become so energy efficient as to become operable at more affordable low wattage. This trend is certainly being observed with low energy lights and fans which are now operable at very low outputs as in table 2, below, that are commensurate with tier 0 - tier 1 and 2 solar capacities[10]. 


Table 2. Low Energy Modern Fans

USB mini-fans: 2-10 Watts

Small desk fans: 5-30 Watts

Energy-efficient BLDC (Brushless DC) ceiling fans: 10-30 Watts



Earth Science Events


8 April 2026

International Conference on Conservation Agriculture and Soil Erosion Control

VENUE: Cape Town, South Africa.


21-23 April 2026

Future Health Africa 2026: Re-imagining Healthcare through technology in Africa

VENUE: Casablanca, Morocco.


6-11 July 2026

5th International Conference on African Rivers: Research Development and Innovation

VENUE: Mohamed V. University, Rabat, Morocco.


21 July

International Conference on Hydraulics and Civil Engineering Solutions

VENUE: Cape Town, South Africa.


21-23 September 2026

African Water Security Conference - Towards and Secure and Resilient Africa

VENUE: Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.


8-11 December

7th International Africa Congress on Hydro environment and engineering Research

- Water Resilience & Innovation

VENUE: Kigali, Rwanda.



References and Selected Reading


[1] Africa Market Outlook for Solar PV 2025-28, Global Solar Council, 2025.

[2] Ibid.

[3] Ibid.

[4] 2025 Renewable Energy (Solar) Industry Report (Nigeria), Agusto, 2025.  https://agustoresearch.com

[5] Nigeria Accelerates Rural Electrification, Africa Energy Portal (AEP), 08 January, 2026.

[6] Ibid.

[7] Off-Grid Solar Market Trends Report 2024, ESMAP (Energy Sector Management Assistance Programme), World Bank, 2024. https://www.esmap.org/sites/default/files/esmap-files/2024-off-grid-solar-market-trends-report.pdf.

[8] Beyond Connections: Energy Access Redefined, World Bank Group 2026, https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/energy/publication/energy-access

Citation: Bhatia, M; Angelou, N. 2015. Beyond Connections: Energy Access Redefined. ESMAP Technical Report; 008/15 (c) World Bank.http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24368

License: CC BY 3.0 IGO ; https://doi.org/10.1596/24368

[9] Ibid.

[10] How Much Electricity Does a Fan Use? Complete 2025 Cost Guide, Solar Tech, July 2025.




*Board of the Society of African Earth Scientists: Dr Enas Ahmed (Egypt), Osmin Callis (Secretary - Guyana/Nigeria), Dr Stanley Echebima (Nigeria), Mathada Humphrey (South Africa), Damola Nadi (Nigeria), Dr Chukwunyere Kamalu (Chair - Nigeria).









 








 


Thursday, 13 November 2025

NEWSLETTER #57 - SOCIETY OF AFRICAN EARTH SCIENTISTS

 









Volume 14, Issue 4, October - December 2025



CONTENT

Chair's Foreword*

African Earth Sciences Must Aim for Africa's Climate Resilience Alongside the Sovereignty of its Resources

Earth Science Events

References and selected reading




Chair's Foreword*

We again address climate. Inevitably, the prominent current concern addressed by earth and atmopheric sciences is climate warming. However, we  must not in the the rush to progress with the energy transition that the response to climate warming demands, neglect the economic necessity of diligent resource management, for the betterment of African lives. This is precisely because many of the minerals needed for the energy transition are found in Africa.

   This issue is dedicated to the memory of a dear friend and collaborator, Explo Nani Kofi, who directed the Kilombo Centre in Ghana and invited SAES to run a solar energy workshop at its annual Ghana Street Parliament event in Peki in 2016. Our sincere condolences to his family. Members and readers are free to review the reports on that event in our newsletter archives. There were well over 30 young and enthusiastic participants in that workshop, which our brother Explo had the mind to have translated live in Ewe language for the benefit of the wider population. It reminded us that language is perhaps the most powerful tool in our attempts to decolonise our knowledge systems.



African Earth Sciences Must Aim for Africa's Climate Resilience Alongside the Sovereignty of its Resources, in Particular, it's Energy Transition Minerals (ETMs)

 A foray into the latest earth science research alerts us to more evidence of accelerating climate change. 


Increased Water Vapour

Studies from 2024 [1] show record levels of atmospheric vapour, which is a key driver of a temperature-vapour feedback loop that amplifies warming. This increased water vapour correlates directly with the potential for more extreme and intense rainfall events, especially from tropical storms [2].


Extreme Precipitation Trends

Research confirms a significant increase in extreme rainfall events over recent decades, with regional variations. [3]

   The frequency and intensity of weather disasters, including floods and rapidly intensifying cyclones, is rising.


Record Global Temperatures

2024 was the warmest year on record, exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius above industrial levels for the first time on an annual basis[4]. Although this seems alarming, a limit of 1.5 degrees annually above preindustrial levels would have to be breached over a period of two decades before 1.5 degrees C is accepted as breached. One year observed over 1.5 degrees is not enough.

   This unprecedented warmth leads, as we expect, to more atmospheric water vapour and hence more extreme rainfall. The warmth contributes to unprecedented sea level rise and affects atmospheric and ocean circulation patterns governing the weather.


Groundwater Atlas of Africa


   In summary, global earth science research and discussions at the present are dominated by the present dangers and existential threat of climate change.  The research indicating increased trends in extreme rainfall are borne out this year. 2025 has been a notable year for extreme flooding and rainfall events across Africa [5].

   And even in the African Diaspora, 2025 can point to Hurricane Melissa, which devastated parts of Jamaica, Haiti and Cuba, with dozens of lives lost.

   Although Africa only contributes 3-4% of global emissions, we have seen that it suffers disproportionately from the effects of  climate change [6]. Success in managing the effects of climate change in Africa is grounded in local and regional action involving:-

*Hydrological and geological mapping: identifying and managing water resources to combat scarcity

*Agricultural science: developing climate resilient farming practices and soil management[7]

*Early Warning Systems: Utilizing meteorological and Geophysical data to predict weather events.

Mapping Africa's Resources - AJ Labs


African Natural Resources Sovereignty

As well as an African imperative to fight climate change on the front foot and on the front line;  there is the risk and threat of economic doom that looms on the horizon; whereby the rising demand for renewable energies is accompanied by a leap in demand for energy transition minerals.

   From an African economic development viewpoint account must be taken of the Continent's deep economic vulnerability to the exploitation of its mineral resources; particularly in being the world's treasure chest of energy transition minerals - that is, those minerals of critical value in enabling the global energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables[8]. Such minerals are: cobalt, lithium, copper, platinum and rare earth metals. 

   The value of these minerals is exported when they are exported in their raw state. When the raw materials are shipped abroad for processing, this transfers jobs that could have employed Africans, along with the accompanying industrial development, to the industrialised countries, to Europe and USA. In addition to this, mining agreements are often more favourable to multinational corporations than to the source nation. 

   Furthermore, the resource extraction takes an environmental toll. Local communities must continue to bear the cost of environmental degradation resulting from badly regulated extraction industries whilst the economic benefits of the extraction are enjoyed elsewhere. 

   The dynamic described above represents a colonial cycle of unending exploitation which destroys Africa's long term economic potential. A key question for Africa's economic future is: How can Africa avoid being exploited for its ever more critical mineral wealth, when in addition to supplying for global energy transition, it is also needed to improve the quality of lives of generations of  African people.




   A powerful tool in regard to the trading of African minerals is collective bargaining. African countries can negotiate more powerfully as a block, rather than individual countries.

   The idea of an "OPEC  (organisation of petroleum exporting countries)" for minerals  seems to urgently require being made into a concrete reality for Africa's economic survival. The case of the Congo makes this Continental block [an African "OMEC (organisation of mineral exporting countries)"] more complex, yet more of an urgent priority. 

  Africa  has since independence been the victim of the so called "resource curse". In numerous articles [9] there is talk of how Africa's minerals can revamp global economies; but little attention to ensuring Africa's minerals play a role in revamping African economies. Africa now has to forge a path of  climate resilience; but it must do this at the same time as guarding and prudently managing its wealth of critical minerals, that are in peak demand for the eventual transition from fossil fuels to renewables.



Earth Science Events


15 November 2025

International Conference on Applied Icthyology, Oceanography & Aquatic Environment

VENUE: Cairo, Egypt


12 January 2026

International Conference on Geology and Geophysics

VENUE: Nairobi, Kenya


18 January 2026

International Conference on Marine Biology & Oceanography

VENUE: Lilongwe, Malawi


27 January 2026

International Conference on Oceanography and Climate Change

VENUE: Cairo, Egypt


21-23 April 2026

Future Health Africa 2026: Re-imagining Healthcare through technology in Africa

VENUE: Casablanca, Morocco




References and Selected Reading

[1] State of the Climate Report, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2024    & Fowler, J., How Atmospheric Water Vapour Amplifies Earth's Greenhouse Effect, Feb. 2022. Https://science.nasa.gov/earth/climate-change/]steamy-relationships-how-atmospheric-vapour-amplifies-the-greenhouse-eeffect.

[2] Yoo-Jun Kim; Joon-Bum Jee and Byunghwan Lim, Investigating the Influence of Water Vapour on Heavy Rainfall Events in the South Korean Peninsula, Remote Sensing, Volume 15, Issue 2, 2023. 

[3] Water - at the Centre of the Climate Crisis, United Nations, https://un.org/en/climatechange/science/climate-issues/water & Martinez-Villalobos and Neelin, J.D., Regionally high risk increase for precipitation extreme events under global warming, Scientific Reports, Volume 13, article 5579, 2023.

[4] Global Climate Highlights 2024, Copernicus. Https: // www.copernicus.eu.

[5] See SAES NEWSLETTER #56. 

[6] UNEP, Responding to Climate Change, Feb. 2024.

[7] SAES Newsletter #54

[8] Adewumi, Paul; How Africa Can Harness Critical Mineral Wealth to Revamp Economies, United Nations Trade and Development (UNCTAD), https://unctad.org/news/how-africa-can-harness-critical-mineral-wealth-revamp-economies

[9] Ibid.








*Board of the Society of African Earth Scientists: Dr Enas Ahmed (Egypt), Osmin Callis (Secretary - Guyana/Nigeria), Dr Stanley Echebima (Nigeria), Mathada Humphrey (South Africa), Damola Nadi (Nigeria), Dr Chukwunyere Kamalu (Chair - Nigeria).




 




 

Sunday, 5 October 2025

NEWSLETTER #56 - SOCIETY OF AFRICAN EARTH SCIENTISTS


Volume 14, Issue 3, July - September 2025




CONTENT


Chair's Foreword*

African Climate Report, September 2025 

Earth Science Events

References and selected reading



Chair's Foreword*

As should be the periodic exercise - the latest report from the Society of significant weather events in the 2025 calendar year to date is presented. The prevalence of flooding and landslides caused by heavy rainfall is notable.




Mokwa floods, Mokwa, Niger State, Nigeria. May 2025.


Africa Climate Report, September 2025

At the start of September 2025 leaders of the African continent  assembled  at the Second Africa Climate Summit, held in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia [1].  The central message coming out of the African climate summit conveyed by the host, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed of Ethiopia, is that a change of narrative must be effected to cease to represent Africa as a victim of climate change. Instead Africa strives to be regarded as a dynamic contributor, offering climate solutions that will benefit Africa and the world at large [2]. Also a WMO delegation held high level panel discussions highlighting the state of progress in monitoring and data sharing. More financial support was called for to support African Meteorology institutions. Prime Minister Ahmed called for 1000 African Climate solutions by 2030 as part of his proposed Climate Compact. 

   The challenges of climate; although a subject of sometimes subjective debate in the circles of the Climate Summit, are a visceral reality among African communities across the continent. In over a dozen African countries (out of a total 54), the year 2025 was yet another featuring extreme weather events mainly due to heavy rainfall that then led to floods and landslides causing  many losses of lives, injuries and thousands displaced from their homes [3].

   Flooding in 2025 affected at least 10 countries across West and Central Africa. Close to a million people (984,000 ) have been affected. In order of worst affected countries were DRC (658,000 affected), Nigeria (127,000), and Cape Verde (95,000) followed by others. Over 20,000 were displaced across these countries, including also Ghana.



   Of the worst cases to be case-studied among these floods, are the so called Mokwa Floods, which devastated the town of Mokwa in Niger State in Northern Nigeria. Several factors were at play to cause the catastrophic Mokwa Floods. On the 28th May 2025, the town indeed experienced heavy rainfall. The persistent heavy rain caused the town to be submerged  by a flood. The volume of rain and its intensity caused a local dam to be overwhelmed and collapse. The damage caused by the torrent was further exacerbated by poor drainage provision and a deforested landscape.[4], [5].

   In some cases, the heavy rainfall across the continent led to seasonal proliferation of landslide events. One such catastrophic event occurred in South Sudan in August, leading to the loss of over 1000 lives. On 20th August 2025 heavy rainfall triggered a landslide in south west Guinea.This was one of a series of landslide events across Guinea that had claimed at least 50 lives and left many injured [6].


South Sudan Landslides














  


  These extreme climate events remind us that whilst we continue our subjective discussions on climate at regional and continental levels, we cannot escape the stark reality,  suggested by events on the ground that climate change is no longer a spectre of the future for which we can plan years in advance. Climate change is here with us here and now. We must quickly grapple with monitoring as well as managing its current and ongoing effects on our continent.  



Earth Science Events


16 October 2025

VISION: International Conference on Water Resources Hydraulics & Hydrology 

VENUE: Mopti, Mali


25 October 2025

International Conference on Earth Science & Recycling Waste Management

VENUE: Maseru, Lesotho


25 October 2025

International Conference on Water Resources Hydrualics & Hydrology

VENUE: George, SA


15 November 2025

International Conference on Applied Icthyology,  Oceanography & Aquatic Environment

VENUE: Cairo, Egypt


12 January 2026

International Conference on Water Resources, Hydraulics & Hydrology

VENUE: Elmohndseen, Egypt


18 January 2026

International Conference on Maritime Biology & Oceanography

VENUE: Lilongwe, Malawi


27 January 2026

International Conference on Oceanography & Climate Change

VENUE: Cairo, Egypt


12 January 2026

International Conference on Geology and Geophysics

VENUE: Nairobi, Kenya



21-23 April 2026

Future Health Africa 2026:  Re-imagining Healthcare through technology in Africa

VENUE: Casablanca, Morocco




References and Selected Reading

[1] The Second Africa Climate Summit (ACS2) - Accelerating Global Climate Solutions: Financing for Africa's Resilient and Green Development, Pre-Summit, Sep 5-7, 2025. Summit Sep 8-10, 2025. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

[2] Ibid.

[3] West & Central Africa 2025 Monitoring of the Flooding Situations - As of 21 August, OCHA, 28 August 2025.

[4] Wikipedia, Mokwa Flood.

[5] Nigerian Flood Disaster. 111 confirmed Dead. Mathrubhumi. May 30, 2025.

[6] Reuters, 3 September 2025, Plea for Helped After Landslide Wipes Out Sudan Village.



*Board of the Society of African Earth Scientists: Dr Enas Ahmed (Egypt), Osmin Callis (Secretary - Guyana/Nigeria),  Dr Stanley Echebima (Nigeria), Mathada Humphrey (South Africa), Damola Nadi (Nigeria), Dr Chukwunyere Kamalu (Chair - Nigeria).


 


 

Thursday, 24 July 2025

NEWSLETTER #55 - SOCIETY OF AFRICAN EARTH SCIENTISTS

 








Volume 14, Issue 2, April - June 2025


CONTENT


Chair's Foreword*

The Feasibility of  Organic Fertilizer Cooperatives in Africa

Earth Science Events

References and selected reading



Chair's Foreword*

In the current issue we address the urgent topic of organic soil fertilization in Africa and its feasibility of  widespread adoption via a cooperatives farming model.

   It has long been acknowledged that most soils in Africa are substantially degraded and in need of restoration to enhance sustainable food production [1]. One of the factors that has been contributing to this is the overuse of chemical fertilizers [2], [3]. Other factors include the mode of industrial agriculture that has been encouraged and implemented in the colonial and neo-colonial era[4], which has served to deplete the soil of nutrients. Industrial farming often included a practice of monoculture with one crop being planted on a plot; as opposed to traditional farming with mixed cropping. When the crop is harvested in monocropping, there are no plants left to provide protection for the soil from rain and sun by their canopies. The result is the erosion of soil material and leaching out of nutrients making the soil infertile. Traditional farming allowed fallow periods for the soil to recover after several seasons of cultivation; and cultivation of crops would be moved to another land plot that had been left uncultivated. This rotation of plots and shifting of cultivation was not practiced in industrial modes of agricultural production, leading to the exhaustion of Africas soils. 

   To redress this situation, the current issue explores the feasibility of introducing organic fertilizers  in the form of a model of cooperative production of organic fertilizer. The report on such a model will look at elements of the organic compost fertilizer cooperatives value chain from resource inputs to distribution and marketing [5]. This is an ongoing discussion.




The Feasibility of Organic Fertilizer Cooperatives in Africa

Organic fertilizer cooperatives in Africa have the potential to be highly effective in improving food yields and hence African food security [6]. Organic farming offers opportunities for improving soil fertility, waste management and improving farming income and livelihoods [7]. However, successful implementation requires addressing challenges related to resource availability and very strict quality control, and market access. 

   The factors which make organic fertilizer cooperatives feasible include firstly, an abundance of organic waste to be found on the farm (such as plant residues and animal manure) that can be converted to organic fertilizers.

    Secondly, there appears to be a rising demand for organic fertilizers. The rising cost of chemical fertilizers in Africa in places like Uganda is one of the factors  increasing interest in organic fertilizer. Other factors include the experience of farmers noticing a positive impact on soil health leading to increased crop yields[3].

   Thirdly, cooperative models can empower farmers by providing access to inputs, processing facilities and markets for their organic fertlizer product. Some governments in Africa are actively supporting organic agriculture. By establishing Cooperatives we can encourage governments that are not yet encouraging organic agriculture to embrace the economic and environmental benefits of practising organic farming.

   We must address the inevitable challenges that will be faced along the way.  These will include the simple restraint that smallholder farmers might find it difficult to access sufficient amounts of organic material and necessary technology for processing. Of course, it is also vital to ensure quality control and consistency in the quality of the fertilizer produced. This would necessitate manufacture by a fixed and documented process so that the quality and effectiveness of the fertilizer product is consistent and easily reproduced. Having this consistency of product will ensure the product is adopted by local farmers.

   An important challenge to be addressed in order to sustain the cooperatives is ensuring  there remains a market. A market outlet is essential for sustainability of the fertilizer production. Farmers who join the cooperative are encouraged to stay if it provides a platform to sell their produce.

   The final and not unexpected challenge may arise in the form of  competition from chemical fertilizers. However, their recent upsurge in cost has made organic fertilizers more attractive. Furthermore, once adopted farmers are exposed to the benefits of organic fertilizer, including improved soil health leading to greater food production, lower costs of production requiring less and more appropriate technology and also potentially increased incomes. In the long run these factors make organic fertilizers a more sustainable way to treat our soils [8].

   In conclusion then, as a potential solution to food security problems, organic fertilizer products require the scoping of the entire value chain for organic fertilizer manufacture [9]. From the sourcing of the raw plant materials to compost into fertilizer through to the distribution and selling of the final product, each stage of the value chain must be scoped.

   Overall, the idea of organic fertilizer cooperatives in Africa is very feasible. However, success depends on addressing the most arduous challenges, including the management of input resources and the development of a sustainable organic fertilizer market. The rewards of estsblishing such cooperatives  are plentiful and include environmental improvement as the soil quality and hence fertility is improved. This is seen as a gain in "natural capital". In creating networks of distribution and a platform for farmers to sell their fertilizers the cooperative model creates infrastructure. Lastly the farmers experience an increase in income making them feel more confident of avoiding becoming poor[10].

   

Earth Science Events


18–21 August 2025

VISION: We are excited to announce the TC/ESG25 Conference, a collaboration between the Transformations Community, the Earth System Governance Project (ESG), and Wits University. 

VENUE: Johann & Krugee National Park, South Africa


1 September 2025

International Conference on Environmental Science & Engineering

VENUE: Kisumu, Kenya


5 September 2025

International Conference on EEnvironmental Meteorology & Climatology

VENUE: Bamako, Mali



References and Selected Reading

[1] Martey, E., Welfare effect of organic fertiliser use in Ghana, Heliyon, Volume 4, Issue 19, October 2018, e00845.

[2] Culas, R., Anwar, M.R. and Maraseni, T.N., A framework for evaluating benefits of organic fertiliser use in agriculture, Journal of Agriculture and Food Research, Volume 19, March 2025, 101576.

[3] Raimi, A., Roopnarain, A., Adeleke, R. , Biofertiliser production in Africa: Current status, factors impeding adoption and strategies for success, Scientific African, Volume 11, March 2021, e00694..

[4]  Soil and Water Conservation in  Sub-saharan Africa, International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD), Rome 1992.

[5] Feasibility Study of the Credit Guarantee for Fertiliser Financing in Africa, African Development Bank, Department of Agriculture and Agro-Industry, African Fertiliser Financing Mechanism

[6] Martey, E., Ibid.

[7] Ibid.

[8] Ibid.

[9] AfDB, Department of Agriculture and Agro-Industry, African Fertiliser Financing Mechanism, Ibid.

[10] Martey, E., Ibid.







*Board of the Society of African Earth Scientists: Dr Enas Ahmed (Egypt), Osmin Callis (Secretary - Guyana/Nigeria), Mathada Humphrey (South Africa), Damola Nadi (Nigeria), Dr Chukwunyere Kamalu (Chair - Nigeria).

N.B. As of this quarter our esteemed sister geoscientist, Ndivhuwo Cecilia Mukosi has stepped down from the board of trustees as SAES seeks to become incorporated as a company limited by guarantee in Owerri, Nigeria to avoid conflict of interest with her day job. We are eternally grateful to Ndivhuwo for helping to found our organisation and her pivotal role in nurturing and supporting the development of SAES over the past 12 years. This is more a farewell than a goodbye as she remains a much loved and revered alumni and a permanent part of our scientific network and family. We wish her abundance of success in future endeavours.