Sunday 24 November 2019

NEWSLETTER #32 - SOCIETY OF AFRICAN EARTH SCIENTISTS














Volume 8, Issue 3

July - September 2019


CONTENT
Chair's Foreword
Towards a Trans-African Highways Network
Earth Science Events
References and selected reading


Chair's Foreword*
We address the Trans-African Highways project first conceived in the 1960s and 70s as a venture that would bring great economic benefit to the continent. The Highway will be built one day, but still has some way to go. We remind ourselves of the vision that led to the project and update readers on the current project status.


Towards a Trans-African Highways Network

The notion of a trans-African highway, immediately promises to contribute greatly to what appears to be an absence of intra-African trade among neighbouring African countries.  Furthermore, it is a vision also promising to foster pan-African integration and co-operation.
   A 2003 report by the African Development Bank and United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) appreciates a certain historical context to the Trans-African Highway project when it states that on the African continent "...the existing road networks were originally established to service the specific needs and interests of the colonial powers, that had developed import/export markets for Africa in the industrial parts of the world. Africa thus inherited transport and communication structures that were outward looking rather than geared to improved trade and transport with neighbouring African countries."[1]

The system of roads known as the Trans-African Highway is partially built, and will on its completion consist of 9 corridors or highways that both map around  and traverse across the vast areas of the African Continent.
United Nations Economic Commission for Africa

   The Highway as planned covers a total of 59,100 km. It was formed with the three fold aims of
a) providing as direct routes as possible between the continent's capital cities
b) contribute to the political, economic and social cohesion of Africa
c) ensure road transport facilities between important areas of consumption and production; in other words to engender intra-African trade.
   According, again, to the same 2003 Africa Development Bank and UN report [2], the layout of the Trans-Africa Highway has come about as a result of compromise between these aims. It was estimated in the same report that it would cost a further 4.2 Billion USD to complete the network.
   Initially a Trans-African Highway Bureau was established to oversee the management of the project and ensure its completion. But this ceased to exist in the 1980s and attempts to revive this in the 1990s failed.  The current plan is to replace the Bureau with Trans-African Highway Authorities and Committees that will help so as to reduce costs borne by member states.
   The Highway had to be extended after the abolition of apartheid in South Africa, which at the time was not included in the network. The Highway formerly connecting Cairo to Gabarone was extended to become Cairo to Cape Town; whilst the route Tripoli to Windhoek was extended to become Tripoli to Cape Town.
   The network does have significant missing links; some where no tracks has even been mapped out for the highway such as in Republic of Congo. In cases this is due to the difficulty of terrain and geology. In other cases, a dirt road exists which may be less passable during rainy season weather.
   Despite the promise, it seems that the building of the Trans-African Highway (TAH) alone, will not by itself lead to intra-African trade increasing. The report notes that the development of inter-African trade has not shown particular advances in the 13 Regional Economic Communities (RECs) for which data was available at the time of the report. Six of the regions showed a decrease in the proportion of exports going to Africa and only one showed an increase, The remainder were more or less unchanged. The picture was the same for imports.
   There were problems prohibiting convenient use of the TAH. Roadblocks were identified as a significant nuisance. These were justified by both legal and illegal agents as necessary for vehicle condition checks, border security etc. However, the vast majority of excessive road blocks existed to extort money from travelers, particularly trucks and buses.
   In April 2008, the conference of African ministers of transport recommended harmonization of standards along the transcontinental highways and began the process of drafting and implementing the agreement.[3] 


Source:  United Nations Economic Commission for Africa

   More recently, the leaders of landlocked countries in Africa have realised the great benefit from the Trans-African Highway that will potentially accrue to landlocked economies which suffer from lack of access to seaports. This is a further incentive to move along with completion of the highway [4].
   The emergence of the TAH will not be without its challenges as greater networks of roads will  transform the continent economically and also lead to other unintended consequences like the disruption of wildlife and natural environments as noted by a report in the New Scientist[5]. Also, although not alluded to by the report, greater road networks will obviously lead to traffic pollution and the need to control vehicle emissions. This is why in addition planning must be made from the outset to cater for carbon neutral electric vehicles. There would need to be a plan to in time install solar powered charging points along the highways with a possible view to moving towards 100% solar powered electric vehicle highways in the future.


Earth Science Events

November 18-19, 2019
Crop Science and Agriculture
VISION: 
VENUE: Bali, Indonesia


November 26-27, 2019
Global Summit on Earth Science and Climate Change
VISION: 
VENUE: Lisbon, Portugal


References and selected reading

1] Africa Develpment Bank and UNECA, Review of Trans African Highways and Missing Links Vol. 2]
https://www.afdb.org/fileadmin/uploads/afdb/Documents/Project-and-Operations/00473227-EN-TAH-FINAL-VOL2.PDF
3] Mutangadura, G., Intergovernmental agreement to underpin the transafrican highway network
http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTTRANSPORT/Resources/336291-1370557660583/Mutangadura-Trans-African-Highway-Network.pdf 
4]  Erdenebileg, S., Statement on: Landlocked Developing Countries and Small Island Developing States at the High Level Expert Group Meeting To Validate the Report on Harmonisation of Road Norms and Standards in Africa and Discuss the Draft Intergovernmental Agreement, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 19 September 2011Acting Director Office of the High Representative for the Least Developed Countries.
5]  Coghlan, Andy, Africa’s road building frenzy will transform Africa - but pose environmental challenges, New Scientist, January 2014.  https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22129512-800-africas-road-building-frenzy-will-transform-continent/



*Board of the Society of African Earth Scientists: Dr Enas Ahmed (Egypt), Osmin Callis (Secretary - Guyana/Nigeria), Mathada Humphrey (South Africa), Ndivhuwo Cecilia Mukosi (South Africa), Damola Nadi (Nigeria),  Dr Chukwunyere Kamalu (Chair - Nigeria).


Sunday 1 September 2019

NEWSLETTER #31 - SOCIETY OF AFRICAN EARTH SCIENTISTS


















Volume 8, Issue 2

April-June 2019


CONTENTS

Chair's Foreword
The Problem of Africa's Infrastructure Project Failures
Earth Science Events
References and selected reading


Chair’s Foreword*

Welcome to the 31st newsletter of Society of African Earth Scientists where we visit the topic of the continent's frequent infrastructure project failures and the causes for them.

The Problem of Africa's Infrastructure Project Failures

   A brief investigation into the literature of this subject reveals that making an inventory for Africa is perhaps over ambitious, as it would promise to be vast in extent.
   The work of Nweze [1] on the failure of public infrastructure projects in Nigeria alone reveals , via the work of Oseminan [2], Nigeria to be "the world's junkyard of failed projects" and that there are 400 major failed projects in Nigeria alone as at 2016 costing hundreds of billions of Naira [3]. This number will have escalated. Reasons identified for failure by the study include: corruption, absence of project management expertise, inexperienced staff, absence of relevant skills. Other reasons identified included, incorrect project cost estimates, poor planning.
   Taking into account all projects large and small, Okereke [4] records that 11,886 Federal Government projects were abandoned in Nigeria between 1971 and 2011. This does not include state government projects which would surely make the list of failures vast. Even if other African countries have only a fraction of Nigeria's failures we see that an inventory for Africa is an unrealistic task. Instead one can focus on learning lessons from significant projects which is what Okereke attempts in his paper.
   There are positive examples on the continent of projects that succeed on budget and on time, in South Africa and Ghana. Take for instance the South African infrastructure put in place for the highly successful 2010 FIFA World Cup. 

Dadin Kowa Dam, Gombe State, Nigeria. Completed in 1984 as a hydro-electric dam project, the dam has not delivered a single watt of electric power to the residents of Gombe State to this day

   Ika and St Macary [5] cite project management as the key factor in the failure of African infrastructure projects. Sometimes, these seem to suggest the sheer complexity of project conditions requires a level of project management that is missing.
   Isaac Damoah, in his PhD thesis on this subject uses Ghana as a case study on why projects fail in developing nations [6], and his study is notable for identifying changes in government and lack of continuity as causes for project failure. These have very recently been highlighted in the press in the case of Nigeria being told by a British Court that it must pay $9 billion to a British company for failing to provide the gas for a planned gas processing plant construction in Calabar, South Eastern Nigeria [7]. This represents a catastrophic waste of benefit that might have been enjoyed by Nigerians in the form of electricity that might have been generated from the gas. In this instance there was a lack of continuity between three successive Nigerian administrations that led to the British company claim. Other factors Damoah cites in failure are political interference, poor planning, procurement processes, release of funds, and so on.
   Solutions to combat project failure offered in the literature include obvious advice such as: encouraging governments to prioritise monitoring of their projects [8], or tackle corruption [9]. There is advice to take note of unrealistic pricing at the contract bid stage, and to demand cashflow information from contractors to ensure they can operate for the duration of the project [10].
   Apart from recommending that various professional bodies and government institutions should meet their obligations by better enforcing codes of ethics or practice on their members or clients, Nweze also makes the prudent case for the review of procurement legislation with a view to plugging loopholes for abuse [11].


Earth Science Events



October 6-9, 2019
16th SAGA Biennial Conference and Exhibition "Current Informing the Future"
VISION:The conference, a staple of the geophysical community in Africa, provides a forum for engagement, idea generation and sharing.
VENUE: Durban, South Africa

October 6-10, 2019
17th African Regional Conference on Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering "Innovation and Sustainability in Geotechnics for Developing Arica"
VISION: Innovative and sustainable infrastructure is crucial for Africa's economic integration. As such, the vision of improved geotechnics is a positive notion directed at the development of the continent.
VENUE: Cape Town, South Africa 



October 30-31, 2019
World Congress on Irrigation, Water Resources & Drainage Engineering
VISION: 

VENUE: Sydney, Australia



November 18-19, 2019
Crop Science & Agriculture
VISION: 

VENUE: Bali, Indonesia



November 26-27, 2019
Global Summit on Earth Science & Climate Change
VISION: 
VENUE: Lisbon, Portugal


References
  1. Nweze, N., Failure of Public Infrastructure Projects in Nigeria: Causes, Effects and Solutions,Texila International Journal of Management,vol.2, issue 2, Dec. 2006. 
  2. Osemenan, I., (1987). Project Abandonment. Newswatch Magazine, (1), 15.
  3. Kotangora, O.O.,(1993). Project Abandonment in Nigeria. Nigeria Tribune.
  4. Okereke, O.C., Causes of failure and abandonment of project deliverables in Africa, PM World Journal, Vol. VI, issue 1 - Jan 2017.
  5.  Ika, L and J. Saint-Macaray, Why Do Projects Fail in Africa?, Journal of African Business, September,2014,(15(3),151-155,2014). Link: http://www.researchgate.net/publication/280213472.
  6.  Damoah, I.S., An investigation into the causes and effects of project failure in developing countries: Ghana as a case study, PhD Thesis, Liverpool John Moore University, October 2005.
  7. Reuters, Judge to allow firm to try to  seize $9 billion Nigerian assets in gas dispute, Aug 2019. https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-nigeria-arbitration/uk-judge-to-allow-firm-to-try-to-seize-9-billion-in-nigerian-assets-in-gas-dispute-idUKKCN1V6154
  8. Damoah, op. cit.
  9. Nweze, op. cit.
  10.  Murwira, D., and M. Bekker, Building an infrastructure project performancein the north-west province department of public works and roads, Acta Structilia 2017: 24(2).
  11. Nweze, op. cit.

*Board of the Society of African Earth Scientists: Dr Enas Ahmed (Egypt), Osmin Callis (Secretary - Guyana /Nigeria), Mathada Humphrey (South Africa), Dr Chukwunyere Kamalu (Chair - Nigeria), Ndivhuwo Cecilia Mukosi (South Africa), Damola Nadi ( Nigeria).



Saturday 13 April 2019

NEWSLETTER #30 - SOCIETY OF AFRICAN EARTH SCIENTISTS
















Volume 8, Issue 1

January-March 2019


CONTENTS

Chair's Foreword
International School Awards 2018
Enhancing PV Cell Output  Using Mirrors/Reflectors
Earth Science Events
References and selected reading

Chair’s Foreword*

Welcome to the 30th issue of Society of African Earth Scientists Newsletter.
Firstly, we draw attention to the success of a number of African Schools from across our continent in the International School Awards, in particular, we look at the work of Corona School in Agbara, Nigeria who won an award in the Business Plan category and executed a successful Water Sanitation and Hygiene project. On behalf of SAES we would like to congratulate Corona School on their successes.
   We also take an enthusiastic look at some research into photovoltaics from around the world that suggests solar panel power outputs can be significantly increased simply using reflectors. This promises to be an effective way to reduce the costs of solar panels in terms of output per £1 or $1 spent.
   Last but not least: In 2013 SAES set a challenge to use Google Earth to measure the land area and coastline of Africa as part of Day of Earth Sciences in Africa (DESA), 20-21st March each year. Six years later it will be interesting to revisit this activity and note if there have been any significant changes in result. The challenge to revisit this activity has therefore been set. The activity guide is to be found by searching "geodata collection activity" on the blog and we look forward to reviewing the results in a future newsletter issue.


Corona School, Agbara State, Nigeria - International School Awards 2018
Chukwunyere Kamalu with Adewale Akinwunmi (Headteacher, Corona School)

Corona School is to be commended and is featured here; not only  for its success in the 2018 International School Awards in the Business Plan category, but furthermore, because the school has made a significant achievement in successfully executing a Water Sanitation and Hygiene development project conceived and planned through an exceptional community effort involving the pupils and staff of Corona School with the help of the local community’s skilled artisans and professionals. This is particularly notable as their community in Agbara, Nigeria, suffered two past cholera outbreaks in a ten year period which led to the tragic loss of life of five members of the community with many residents taken ill.


   The School was able to spearhead a community drive to take action to improve community public health and hygiene and protect against a future repeat of the cholera outbreaks of the past, by collaborating with local project stakeholders made up predominantly of the members of the local Transformer Club and Gavel Club. These clubs helped to organise fundraising for the project for materials and labour to execute the agreed plan.

   The stakeholders together cooperated to construct: 1) A four-room public toilet and washroom facility and 2) A borehole with water storage tank and  water taps that now make water for drinking and sanitation available to the local population.



   Most importantly, the project stakeholders have been able to devise a system that will make this a sustainable provision and will enable this facility to be available for community long term benefit. The stakeholders have secured a guarantee from the local Community Development Association that it will ensure the continued maintenance of the facility; with a Committee appointed by the Community Council ensuring the continued maintenance and effective running of the facility into the foreseeable future.


Enhancing PV Cell Output Using Mirrors/Reflectors

A fair number of studies are now to be found on the internet, which demonstrate that the solar power output  of solar panels can be significantly increased by placing mirrors or reflectors in suitable close proximity.
   Arshad et al in 2014  in Pakistan [1] were able to show that the use of mirrors improved output by 32%. However, it was also the case that the use of mirrors/reflectors increased irradiance and also the temperature of the solar panels. Unfortunately, raising temperature also decreases the efficiency of the panels. This was ameliorated by applying a cooling  mechanism  and led to a 52% improvement in  panel power output.
   Naseer K Kasim et al in Iraq [2] report a gain in output power of over 48% when reflectors are applied to their solar panels. Since their trough shaped solar reflectors caused a rise in incident radiation levels which increased and thus increased the PV module short circuit current. The reflectors do cause a rise in temperature which leads to a fall in voltage. However, the percentage drop in  voltage (V) is far less than the .percentage drop in current  (I), so there remained a net increase in power P = V x I.
   Andrews, Pollard and Pearce [3] showed that a 45% increase in solar panel output was made by employing reflectors, in this case made of a sophisticated form of Aluminium.


Trough shaped mirrors attached to solar panels. From Kasim et al , 2018

   There is a surfeit of further studies supporting the examples discussed above  [4, 5, 6]. The results of these studies raise the possibility of designing suitable furniture (to accompany solar panels) that is covered in reflective material that is cheap and easy to access such as aluminium foil. Such furniture with suitable fixings and proximity would enhance irradiance and increase the PV module current and thereby the power output of the panels for relatively little cost. 

Earth Science Events

June 6-7, 2019
Zimbabwe Mineral Resources Conference
VISION: Pro- and preceded by geological field trips. Will be subdivided into two morning and afternoon sessions.
VENUE: Harare, Zimbabwe

July 11-13, 2019
World Congress on Geology and Earth Science
VISION: Providing innovative research methodologies for Earth Sciences.
VENUE: London, UK

August 4-9, 2019
70th Annual Meeting of International Society of Electrochemistry
VISION: Linking resources to sustainable development
VENUE: Durban, South Africa

October 6-9, 2019
16th SAGA Biennial Conference and Exhibition "Current Informing the Future"
VISION:The conference, a staple of the geophysical community in Africa, provides a forum for engagement, idea generation and sharing.
VENUE: Durban, South Africa

October 6-10, 2019
17th African Regional Conference on Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering "Innovation and Sustainability in Geotechnics for Developing Arica"
VISION: Innovative and sustainable infrastructure is crucial for Africa's economic integration. As such, the vision of improved geotechnics is a positive notion directed at the development of the continent.
VENUE: Cape Town, South Africa 


 .
References, Selected Reading, etc
References on photovoltaic research
1.     Arshad, R., Tariq. S., Niaz, M., M. Jamil, “Improvement in Solar Panel Efficieny Using Solar Concentration by Simple Mirrors and Cooling”, 2014 International Conference on Robotics and Emerging Allied Technologies in Engineering (iCREATE), Islamabad, Pakistan.
2.     Kasim, N.K., Atwan, A.F., Eliewi, F.M., “Improve the performance of  solar modules by reflectors”, The Sixth Scientific Conference “Renewable Energy and its Applications”, IOP Conference Series: Journal of Physics: Conf. Series 1032 (2018) 012031.
3.     Andrews, R., Pollard, A., Pearce, M.J., “Photovoltaic System Performance Enhamcement With Non-Tracking Planar Concentrators: Experimental Results and Bi-Directional Reflectance Function (BDRF) Based Modelling. Link: https://www.academia.edu/16836963/Photovoltaics_Systems_Performance_Enhancement_With_Non_Tracking_Planar_Concentrators__Experiment
4.     Srisailam, Ch., Srihari, T., Chinna Babu, T., “Improvement of Solar Energy By Mirror Reflection Technique”, International Journal of Engineering Research and General Science Volume 3,  Issue 3, May-June, 2015.
5.     Rizk, J., and Nagrial, M.H. (2009), “Impact of reflectors on solar energy systems”, International Journal of Electrical, Computer, Energetic, Electronic and Communication Engineering Vol 2, No.5, 2008.
6.  Ahmed, S., Mia, M.M.A, Acherjee, S. and M.A.A. Ansary, "More Efficient Use of Photovoltaic Solar Panel Using Multiple Fix Directed Mirrors or Aluminium Foils Instead of Solar Trackers in Rural Perspective of Bangladesh", International Journal of Scientific and Technology Research Vol. 3, Issue 4, April 2014.



*Board of the Society of African Earth Scientists: Dr Enas Ahmed (Egypt), Osmin Callis (Secretary - Guyana /Nigeria), Mathada Humphrey (South Africa), Dr Chukwunyere Kamalu (Chair - Nigeria), Ndivhuwo Cecilia Mukosi (South Africa), Damola Nadi ( Nigeria).